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Analysts Suspect Banking Crisis Triggered ‘Resting Bull Market’ in Gold, Silver Could Print Much Higher Gains – Bitcoin News

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Analysts Suspect Banking Crisis Triggered 'Resting Bull Market' in Gold, Silver Could Print Much Higher Gains



Analysts Suspect Banking Crisis Triggered ‘Resting Bull Market’ in Gold, Silver Could Print Much Higher Gains – Bitcoin News


At the start of the week, a troy ounce of .999 fine gold was trading at $1,813 per unit. Seven days later, gold rose 9.65% against the U.S. dollar to the current spot price of $1,988 per ounce. Gold’s rise comes at a time when confidence in the global banking system is at an all-time low, and five major banks have received bailouts. An ounce of fine silver also increased in value, rising more than 12% from $20.01 to $22.59 per ounce this week.

Gold and Silver Prices Surge Amid Banking Crisis and Expectations of a Dovish Fed

The price of gold is approaching the $2,000 per ounce mark after numerous U.S. and international banks showed signs of extreme weakness. The Federal Reserve lent banks $164.8 billion in five days, erasing almost 50% of the U.S. central bank’s monetary tightening policy. As a result, the market expects a dovish rate hike this month, possibly around 25 basis points, or even no rate hike at all after the financial calamity the banking industry has faced. According to TD Securities’ global head of commodity strategy Bart Melek, this is “good news for gold,” he told Kitco News.

“Markets are concluding that we’ll see the Fed go for another 25bps increase and then probably sit on it for a while and see what happens,” Melek explained. “The view from the gold perspective is that given disruptions in the banking system and the U.S. Treasury Department’s willingness to help, we might get accommodation that allows inflation to hang around longer at a higher level.”

Gold surged 9.65% against the U.S. dollar this past week, and silver also rose 12.61% higher over the last seven days. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen from 105.65 at the start of the week to the current level of 103.864. Statistics analyst and market movement forecaster Northstar tweeted about gold’s performance over the years compared to the DXY 21 days ago. “In 1974, the DXY was 105 [and] gold was $150,” Northstar said at the time. “In 1981, DXY was 105 [and] gold was $450. Today, DXY is 105, [and] gold is $1,810. Do not fear a rising U.S. Dollar Index – over time, gold faithfully tracks purchasing power destruction.”

Bloomberg’s senior macro and commodities strategist Mike McGlone referred to gold as a “resting bull” three days ago, on March 15. “Gold appears to be a rare resting bull market compared to most risk assets and commodities that are reverting from getting overextended, on the back of pandemic-related excess liquidity,” McGlone said in an investors’ note. “Plunging crude oil may be part of the deflationary spark for the metal to breach resistance of $2,000 an ounce. If history is a guide, 300 rapidly declining commodities, a banking crisis, and Federal Reserve tightening pose an oxymoron and could trigger a Fed pivot buoying gold,” McGlone added.

Silver Could Post Much Larger Gains than Gold; Bitcoin Poised to Trade like Gold and U.S. Treasury Long Bonds

Richard Mills, the owner of aheadoftheherd.com, explained on Friday that he believes silver’s rise is understated. “Current indications show that silver is way undervalued,” Mills said. “Right now, on the morning of March 17, the gold-silver ratio is 88:1, meaning it takes 88 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.” Mills added that when gold reached $2,000 per ounce, “silver rallied to nearly $30 an ounce, a 147% increase.” The investor said that the silver-gold ratio just fell from over 100:1 to just over 64:1, and he opined that a significant rise in silver’s value “could easily happen again.”

Many gold and silver proponents have high hopes for the precious metals going forward. Moreover, while McGlone believes gold will be affected by the current macroeconomic events, the market strategist also thinks the banking issues may be a defining moment for bitcoin (BTC). “Bitcoin may be progressing to trade more like US Treasury long bonds and gold as banks come under stress on the back of the bond-price collapse. Bitcoin sustaining above $25,000 is a clear sign of divergent strength,” McGlone tweeted.

Tags in this story

asset allocation, Banking Crisis, Bart Melek, Bitcoin, commodities, commodity prices, Cryptocurrency, Diversification, Federal Reserve, Financial Markets, Global Economy, gold, inflation, investment, Investors, market analysis, Market Disruption, Market Forecast, market outlook, Market Performance, Market predictions, Market Risks, Market Strategy, Market Trends, Market Uncertainty, market volatility, Mike McGlone, Northstar, Northstar Charts, pandemic, portfolio management, Precious Metals, Richard Mills, risk assets, silver, trading strategies, US Dollar Index, US Treasury Bonds, Wealth preservation

What are your thoughts on the current state of the global banking system and its potential impact on the value of gold, silver, and other assets like bitcoin? Do you think we’re headed for a major financial crisis, or is this just a temporary blip? Let us know in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 6,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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More Banks Will Fail Without Crypto, Says Tim Draper

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Amid the recent banking turmoil, BeInCrypto talked to renowned investor Tim Draper. We discussed how Bitcoin can prosper from this financial crisis, and what makes a weak leader.

The recent banking crisis has led to growing distrust in once-solid banks. The acquisition of Credit Suisse by UBS has added to this climate of uncertainty and distrust of the banking system. There have been significant withdrawals from Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, and Deutsche Bank has come under scrutiny. 

Tim Draper, a well-known venture capitalist and entrepreneur, and one of the biggest personalities on Wall Street, takes the view that there is a simple way to safeguard against the dangers.

“I have recommended to all CFOs as a hedge against bank or government failures to have at least two payrolls worth of Bitcoin to avoid catastrophic failure,” Draper told BeInCrypto. “I continue to advocate Bitcoin as a hedge against the current antiquated and over-regulated banking system and as a hedge against bad governments with too many regulations.”

In the recent flight to safety, depositors have moved assets to “too big to fail” banks as they have questioned the viability of smaller institutions. Unlike traditional banks, which have intermediaries, DeFi can provide financial services to anyone with an internet connection, with recorded transactions on a public ledger. In recent weeks, some people have particularly appreciated the benefit of increased accountability.

Draper told BeInCrypto that this will only accelerate the adoption of crypto as an alternative to the traditional banking system.

“I think the SVB failure was a wake-up call for the people who have been reluctant to buy Bitcoin,” he said. “Now, it is mission-critical to keep the trains on the tracks.”

Crypto Is Inevitable

Crypto adoption rates and motivations vary widely between developed and underdeveloped countries and those with stable and unstable currencies. According to a report by the United Nations, Venezuela ranked third among the countries with the most cryptocurrency adoption. Russia and Ukraine beat it in the league tables.

“Bitcoin is loved by the people from countries with weak currencies,” said Draper. “It gives the people a chance to build and store value without the risk of [the] government over-printing and devaluing their work. The US seems to be heading down that inflationary, high-interest-rate path, and I believe that more and more people will be using Bitcoin to store value now.”

“Banking crises can only really be prevented by allowing the banks to accept and operate in Bitcoin. Otherwise, banks will be operating with a smaller and smaller market as people transition to the better technology,” he added.

Cryptocurrencies have recently come under fire for their use to evade sanctions. But Draper believes the effort to stop them is futile. Much like King Canute trying to stop the tides from rolling in. “We are going through an anthropological leap forward with Bitcoin,” he said. “The landscape is shifting. During shifting landscapes, great leaders embrace the change. Weak leaders try to resist the wave. Sanctions are porous. Sanctioned countries will use the tools they can to get around them.”

Embracing Change

Draper’s thesis on economics is equally libertarian—not unlike many crypto enthusiasts. But in this interview, Draper was unafraid to take the philosophy to its logical endpoint. It’s a view that is deeply entwined with the individualism and enterprise-first values that crypto enables. “I have noticed that great leaders trust their people and set them free,” he explained. “That trust and freedom builds great economies, encourages rapid adoption of new and improved products and services. [It] creates a happy, wealthy society. Weak leaders control and regulate their people, creating a fearful, unproductive, impoverished society.”

The current banking crisis seems to have fizzled out, for now. However, Draper is convinced that without regulators bringing crypto into the tent, there is more turbulence to come. “If regulators persist in keeping banks out of the lucrative crypto market, more banks will fail, as more and more of the economy goes crypto. If they embrace the change, banks will be able to adapt, and they will thrive in the new Bitcoin economy.”

Leave It to the Market

Draper’s relentless enthusiasm for the crypto market will inevitably be a welcome tonic to some investors. 2022 was a volatile year for cryptocurrency, with values dropping over 60%. A new study of over 1,200 Americans found that awareness of cryptocurrency has increased by 9% since 2022, but ownership rates dropped from 33% to 30%. Only 1 in 3 owners turned a profit that year. Considering the choppy water of the recent past, what is the best way to ensure the future health of crypto?

“The market will ultimately arbitrate the best outcome,” said Draper. “FTX was a clear signal that centralized authority of any money supply is not as good as a decentralized system like the Bitcoin blockchain.”

Could he share examples of cryptocurrencies providing financial stability and resilience during the recent crisis? “I know that companies in the Bitcoin world that held their fiat in SVB but also held Bitcoin were not in panic mode. Since they knew they could always make payroll in Bitcoin,” Draper reflected.

Disclaimer

Following the Trust Project guidelines, this feature article presents opinions and perspectives from industry experts or individuals. BeInCrypto is dedicated to transparent reporting, but the views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of BeInCrypto or its staff. Readers should verify information independently and consult with a professional before making decisions based on this content.

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