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Dogecoin trader explains why shorting DOGE now makes sense

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Dogecoin (DOGE) has surged nearly 100% quarter-to-date (QTD) on hopes that Elon Musk would integrate the token onto the Twitter platform. However, DOGE’s potential to continue its uptrend in the coming weeks is low, one popular market analyst argues.

Short Dogecoin hard?

Independent market analyst GCR said he is moderately short on DOGE based on its price’s recent reaction to a Musk tweet. Notably, DOGE formed a local top at $0.158 on Nov. 1. The same day, Musk shared a picture of his pet Shiba Inu wearing a t-shirt with the Twitter logo.

GCR argues that the Musk-effect is wearing off when it comes to Dogecoin’s potential integration into Twitter, meaning that most of the gains are already priced in. Therefore, if the actual integration happens, it will likely become a sell-the-news event. 

Overbought correction begins

Meanwhile, Dogecoin continued its correction move on Nov. 4, three days after topping out at $0.158.

DOGE’s price dropped to as low as $0.115 on Nov. 4, in part due to rumors of Twitter pausing its crypto wallet development project. That brought the token’s net percentage correction from the Nov. 1 local top to nearly 27%.

In addition, the downside move surfaced due to its extremely overbought conditions with the highest relative strength index (RSI) since April 2021.

DOGE/USD three-day price chart. Source; TradingView

The correction has prompted Dogecoin price to retest its December 2021-May 2022 support (defined by the $0.108-$0.124 range; the red bar in the chart above) for a potential pullback. The coin may reach $0.185, a level coinciding with its 0.236 Fib line, if the recovery occurs.

Conversely, a break below the $0.108-$0.124 range could have DOGE drop to $0.055 as their primary downside target, down 55% from current price levels.

DOGE on-chain data

Furthermore, Dogecoin’s on-chain data reveals a consistent drop in key metrics entering November, which could add more sell-pressure.

Related: Shiba Inu price drops to record low vs Dogecoin — Will history repeat with a 150% rally?

For instance, DOGE’s Twitter-led price rally coincided with a sharp rise in whale transaction count (worth over $100,000), suggesting that they supported the upside move. But after Nov. 1, fewer whales have interacted with the Dogecoin network.

Dogecoin whale transaction count. Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, the Dogecoin supply distribution across addresses holding between 1,000 and 10 million DOGE tokens has fallen alongside the price. Conversely, the supply controlled by addresses holding more than 10 million DOGE tokens has increased modestly.

Dogecoin supply distribution. Source: Santiment

In addition, the addresses holding below 100 DOGE have been increasing, hinting that retail investors have been offsetting whales’ selling pressure to a certain degree.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.





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Bull Market Signal? Jim Cramer Advises Crypto Investors to Sell

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The host of CNBC’s Mad Money show – Jim Cramer – said cryptocurrency investors still have time to sell their “awful” positions.

His previous advice has often been inaccurate, prompting numerous participants to anticipate a market surge after the latest comments.

Cramer’s on the Spotlight Again

During his most recent show, Mad Money’s host urged investors to cash out their cryptocurrency at all costs. He thinks “it’s never too late” to exit the market, hinting the crypto winter is nowhere near its end:

“You can’t just beat yourself up and say, ‘hey, it’s too late to sell.’ The truth is, it’s never too late to sell an awful position, and that’s what you have if you own these so-called digital assets.”

Cramer believes the most speculative cryptocurrencies that could possibly crash to virtually zero are Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and Polygon (MATIC). 

Most digital currencies have lost a significant chunk of their valuation, with bitcoin being down nearly 65% since the beginning of 2022. In addition, investors’ interest has significantly dropped, while multiple companies experiencing liquidity issues. Former giants in the field, including FTX, BlockFi, Three Arrows Capital, and Celsius, even filed for bankruptcy.

However, the market has been through other “winters” in the past, and many digital currencies endured the turbulence, including bitcoin.

Subsequently, Cramer argued that the industry is full of “boosters” who try desperately to inflate the market with considerable financial efforts, giving an example is Tether, the company issuing USDT.

“There’s still a whole industry of crypto boosters trying desperately to keep all of these things up in the air — not too different from what happened with bad stocks during the dotcom collapse.”

Jim Cramer, Source: CNBC

Cramer: a Popular Counter Indicator

The American has displayed a highly controversial stance on crypto over the years. He predicted in 2017 that bitcoin will surge to $1 million in the future but later changed his mind and labeled it an “outlaw currency.”

Cramer joined the pro-bitcoin team in 2020 again, praising the coin’s maximum supply of 21 million as a significant advantage over the traditional financial system and fiat currencies. He compared BTC to gold at the end of 2020 and even purchased some amounts of the asset when it was trading at around $17,500. 

As bitcoin was heading north, so was Cramer’s support toward it. He even requested his salary to be paid in BTC instead of fiat currency in April 2021. The recent market crash, though, has changed his vision entirely, and he has returned as a crypto critic. 

Many of his crypto predictions have been proven wrong. In September 2021, he advised investors to cash out their holdings, saying the Evergrande debt crisis in China could trigger a market crash. Bitcoin skyrocketed to an all-time high of nearly $69,000 two months later.

He also opined in January 2022 that the correction from BTC and ETH could be over, meaning investors should reconsider entering the market. Contrary to that forecast, the leading cryptocurrencies continued their downfall and are currently trading at $17,000 and $1,250, respectively, down from $47,000 and $3,700 from the beginning of the year.

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Rumors of a new native ‘Twitter Coin’ emerge while Dogecoiners remain hopeful

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Social media users are swirling around rumors that Twitter is looking at introducing its own native asset called “Twitter Coin” to be used for payments and tipping on the platform.

Some are citing the initial reports from sources such as Nima Owji, who runs an app-focused information leak account on Twitter.

On Dec. 4, he posted a screenshot of what appears to be a prototype Twitter interface showing a “Coins” option for tipping, along with a vector image showing a coin bearing Twitter’s logo.

Others have pointed to tweets from tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong, who claimed to have extracted code from a specific version of Twitter’s web app to find the same information as Owji, though the post itself and Wong’s account have since been deleted for unknown reasons. 

Jane Manchun Wong’s deleted threat: Twitter

There has also been a swarm of posts under the TwitterCoin hashtag, with many people excited but ultimately unsurprised that the social media platform could be working on new payment rails and system integrations now that Elon Musk is at the helm.

Members of the feverent Dogecoin community on Twitter and Reddit have also tried connecting the dots, with some remaining hopeful that Twitter Coin is just a placeholder name for Dogecoin, considering Musk’s long-running affiliation with the memecoin.

Speaking on a similar subject in a Dec. 4 Twitter Spaces, Musk suggested to an audience of 2.1 million listeners that he was still interested in integrating crypto with the social media platform.

“It is kind of a no-brainer for Twitter to have payments, both fiat and crypto,” he said.

Related: Ripple CTO shuts down ChatGPT’s XRP conspiracy theory

As it stands, Twitter has been gradually expanding its payment integrations over the past couple of years, and currently supports fiat tipping for a host method alongside Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which were integrated in September 2021.

Since the $44 billion takeover went through in October, Musk has overseen a host of changes to Twitter, particularly relating censorship policy, information disclosures and botting activity.





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Price analysis 12/5: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, DOT

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Crypto markets appear to be losing some of their recent bullish momentum, but a favorable tailwind from equities markets could catalyze a breakout in Bitcoin and select altcoins.



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